Characteristics of prices for potatoes in 2019
The price of potatoes in 2019 increased due to a shortage of a domestic product caused by weather conditions, an increase in storage costs, and imports of foreign vegetables. To compile a complete picture, it is necessary to consider the data on the indicators of the value of culture of past years and those that are presented in the media today.
Characteristics of prices for potatoes in 2019
Market situation
The second place in the Russian economy belongs to agriculture, which annually replenishes the budget by 5.5-6 trillion rubles. and more. The leading position in the industry is held by crop production (54%).
Potatoes are valued by the Russian consumer on a par with wheat and are included in the list of primary goods. This makes it possible to set the boundaries for the increase in prices for it with an unreasonable increase in indicators in certain regions.
An important turnaround for the pricing policy for potatoes was the bumper crop of 2015-2016, which collapsed the agricultural market and brought a loss to all medium and small enterprises. The average price for 1 kg of vegetable crops in the winter period was 10 rubles, and in the spring-summer period - 6 rubles.
An emergency situation has arisen due to incorrect calculations and an increase in the cultivated area. It was possible to correct the consequences and prevent the subsequent surplus by improving the country's agricultural policy. Thus, it turned out:
- improve product quality;
- to create processing complexes;
- build up export routes.
Indicators 2017
Rosstat data indicate an increase in average retail indicators by 24%. The forecast, released in December 2016, paid off, but with minor errors. The main reason was called the depletion of stocks, which have been preserved since the 2015 harvest, but the formation of the crop is influenced by external and internal factors that are more difficult to calculate.
In the spring, when the old stocks were depleted and the new ones were not yet ripe, the product was imported from other states. The main supply partner is Egypt (40% of the total).
In 2017, there was a shortage of domestic vegetable crops. It was the result of the discrepancy between the figures laid down in the Food Security Doctrine and the actual receipts to storage facilities from potato fields. The increase in prices directly depends on the requirements set by foreign partners.
The internal reasons for the increase in cost were the costs of storage and transportation. The main factor in the decrease in the amount of domestic product was the instability of weather conditions throughout Russia. The planting season was delayed due to an extremely cold spring, and heavy rainfall reduced the quality of the harvested crop.
The annual report of Rosstat showed the average cost of potatoes by region, which amounted to 12 rubles. per 1 kg, and last year's figures ranged from 6 to 10 rubles.
Potato price in 2018
The weather greatly influenced the price of potatoes
The disappointing forecast of experts about the impact of weather on the delay of the landing season came true.Planting in 2017 was carried out in the southern regions no earlier than March, and in the northern regions - May-June. The sown area has decreased by 5%, and the delay averaged over 14 days across the country.
Prolonged rains did not improve the situation, but only shortened the growing season of the tuber. This reduced the shelf life of the crop, which led to a decrease in the quality of the goods sold.
Summing up the annual results showed that the season for the sale of potatoes was high in terms of prices. Average indicators of wholesale deliveries across Russia in the second month of spring 2018 increased by 25%. Vegetable crops were put into storage at 8-10 rubles, and sold in the spring of 2018 from 15 rubles. for 1 kg.
Predictions for 2019
A disappointing forecast awaits the consumer in 2019, as the price of the product will rise.
Growth will be provoked by the depletion of domestic stocks, the sown area, the area of which decreased by 3-5% in 2018.
The harvested crop is distinguished not only by its numerical shortage, but also by its low quality. The latter was facilitated by weather conditions, which shortened the growing season.
Prices for the new season will be set taking into account the resources spent on storage and transportation of products. Tuber crops should be kept under certain conditions, which requires rental costs, maintaining the microclimate and energy resources.
Winter transportation is not complete without renting an expensive thermal transport. The increase in price indicators (predicted to 40-50 rubles per 1 kg) will continue until the last decade of May or the first weeks of June. After that, the season of young potatoes, which comes from domestic vegetable gardens, will open.
According to media reports
The latest data indicate that in 6 regions of the Ural Federal District, vegetable stocks will be depleted before the start of the new harvest. They will not be able to do without additional supplies (especially regions with a lack of farm supplies).
The Tyumen region harvested tubers from an area not exceeding 2.5 thousand hectares. This does not cover consumer demands, therefore, an import supply is carried out, which affects the rise in prices.
In the market over the past 1.5 months of 2019, a systematic increase in the cost of products is recorded. At the time of collection, there was a decrease, now the price tags have added 2 rubles each, which ranged from 29.5 to 35 rubles. for 1 kg. The drought of 2018 caused a shortage of the product, which led to a jump in prices in markets from Siberia to the central regions of the country.